Genius Sports Ltd (GENI.N): Strong 2Q26 Results, 2026 Outlook Raised

Research evidence excerpt

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06 Aug 2026 08:17:50 ET │ 11 pages

Genius Sports Ltd (GENI.N)

Strong 2Q26 Results, 2026 Outlook Raised

CITI'S TAKE

GENI reported 2Q26 revenue of $196 million, above Citi and the Street at

$185 million. Adj. EBITDA came in at $53 million, also above both Citi and

the Street at $45 million. The company raised their 2026 guidance for

both revenue and Adj. EBITDA. Revenue is now expected to range from

$1,005 million to $1,025 million (from $990 million to $1,010 million) and

Adjusted EBITDA is now expected to be $285 million to $295 million (from

$270 million to $280 million). As such, we expect the shares to react

positively.

Buy

Price (05 Aug 26 16:00)

US$8.33

Target price

US$8.00

Expected share price return

-4.0%

Expected dividend yield

0.0%

Expected total return

-4.0%

Market Cap

US$2,229M

Implications — GENI reported 2Q26 revenue and Adj. EBITDA above the Street.

Additionally, the company raised revenue and Adj EBITDA guidance for the year. We

expect the stock to trade higher.

Jason B BazinetAC

Genius Sports Ltd (USD)

Year to 31 Dec

2024A

2025A

2026E

2027E

2028E

Sales ($M)

510.9

669.5

999.2

1,335.1

1,625.2

Profit Before Tax ($M)

-66.3

-117.7

-15.0

190.2

318.6

Diluted EPS ($)

-0.27

-0.44

-0.11

0.48

0.79

Diluted EPS (Old) ($)

-0.27

-0.44

-0.11

0.48

0.79

PE (x)

-30.3

-19.0

-72.7

17.5

10.5

EV/EBITDA (x)

24.6

14.8

8.4

5.9

5.1

DPS ($)

0.00

na

Net Div Yield (%)