REAL-TIME GLOBAL RESEARCH
Flowco Holdings Inc. (FLOC.N): 2Q EBITDA Slightly Ahead; Guidance Slightly Below Expectations
Research evidence excerpt
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11 Aug 2026 09:00:21 ET │ 10 pages
Flowco Holdings Inc. (FLOC.N)
2Q EBITDA Slightly Ahead; Guidance Slightly Below Expectations
CITI'S TAKE
This morning, FLOC announced 2Q adjusted EBITDA of $94mm, 1% below
Citi, but 1% above FactSet consensus – the company signaled EBITDA
toward the low end of guidance during conferences in June, and these
headwinds appear largely digested. Revenues of $236mm were in-line
with Citi, but 1% above consensus as strong Production Solutions
revenues (4%/5% above Citi/consensus), driven by higher downhole
components, were offset by weakness in Natural Gas Technologies
(8%/8% below), owing to soft vapor recovery system sales. EBITDA
margins across both segments came in above our forecasts, but overall
EBITDA margins were ~50bps below due to higher-than-expected
corporate costs. During the call, FLOC guided to 3Q adjusted EBITDA of
$95mm at the midpoint, 2% above our forecasts, but 2% below
consensus. Overall, adjusted EBITDA and revenue figures were largely inline with consensus but guidance was below and we expect a modestly
negative to neutral reaction.
Implications — Overall, adjusted EBITDA and revenue figures were largely in-line
with consensus but guidance was below and we expect a modestly negative to
neutral reaction.
Neutral / High Risk
Price (10 Aug 26 16:00)
US$22.33
Target price
US$31.00
Expected share price return
38.8%
Expected dividend yield
0.0%
Expected total return
38.8%
Market Cap
US$2,017M
Scott GruberAC
Johan Monge
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