GLOBAL RESEARCH ARCHIVE
Vale: Digging for value
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Vale: Digging for value
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Vale
Digging for value
Maintain Rating: BUY | PO: 19.00 USD | Price: 14.99 USD
Operational reset complete, focus on growth & execution 09 June 2026
Vale’s 2026 Analyst and Investor tour’s key message was that the operational reset at Vale Equity
Base Metals (VBM) is largely complete, with the focus now shifting toward growth and
Caio Ribeiro >>
execution. Management highlighted improving reliability, lower costs and stronger Research Analyst
operational discipline across the portfolio. Productivity initiatives and decentralized Merrill Lynch (Brazil) +55 11 2188-4375
decision-making were cited as key drivers of recent performance gains. The company also caio.ribeiro@bofa.com
maintained a constructive long-term view on critical minerals demand. We maintain our Buy Guilherme Rosito >>
rating on Vale as we see estimated FCF yield of 7.8% in 2026 as attractive amongst global Research Analyst Merrill Lynch (Brazil)
miners, with potential catalysts including extraordinary dividends by the end of the year. +55 11 2188 4363
guilherme.rosito@bofa.com
Mariana Leite >>Copper growth remains the main strategic focus Research Analyst
Management reiterated a constructive long-term view on copper fundamentals, citing Merrill Lynch (Brazil)
structural supply deficits and limited global project development. VBM is targeting +55mariana.leite@bofa.com11 2188 4073
copper production growth from 350-380Kt in 2026 to ~700Kt by 2035, mainly through
brownfield projects, such as Bacaba, Salobo CPF and Alemão. Vale emphasized low
capital intensity and attractive project returns. Management also stated that internal
Stock Dataambitions extend beyond current formal guidance levels.
Price (ADR / Common) 14.99 USD / 78.07 BRL
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