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研报英文原文证据摘录
Equity Research
10 September 2026 | 6:34AM BST
GS EUROPEAN EXPRESS: Energy | Fortum | Adyen | Abivax | Greece
Banks| Macro | Global | Corporate Access
We are hosting a ‘Europe: The Secret Outperformer: Macro to Micro’ Call TODAY
at 4:00 pm UKT, register here!
Sahar Islam
+44(20)7051-4935 |
Goldman Sachs International
Europe Energy: Lifting cash flow and distribution estimates to reflect stronger
EU gas and refining; Harbour to Buy - We lift our oil, gas and refining assumptions
for our EU Oils coverage ahead of Q3 reporting, aligning them with current forwards,
and highlight four implications: higher distributions for the EU Big Oils, with Repsol
and ENI offering the highest shareholder returns in 2026E; material gearing
reduction into 2026/27 supporting a resumption of buybacks for BP by 2H27; Var
Energi and Harbour Energy as the best picks to capture upside to TTF prices into
winter. We upgrade Harbour Energy to Buy from Neutral on upside risk to TTF into
winter and the 10% SH returns for the $250mn buyback currently announced.
(Michele Della Vigna)
Fortum OYJ (FORTUM.HE): New strategic partnership paints a stronger outlook;
Upgrade to Neutral - Fortum yesterday announced a strategic partnership with
Google in Finland, including a 22-year life extension PPA for 50% of its Loviisa
nuclear power plant capacity through to 2050, which we expect to increase group
comparable RONA by approximately 1.4pp and add c.30% to our EPS by 2030.
Alongside an MoU on new nuclear, renewables and flexibility, we see the balance
sheet to invest increasing by c.€2bn. We upgrade to Neutral from Sell and raise our
PT by 55%. Buy with 3% upside. (Ajay Patel). See also: Fortum OYJ (FORTUM.HE): New
strategic partnership with Google a positive
Adyen NV (ADYEN.AS): Communacopia + Technology 2026 — Key Takeaways Management discussed: 1) Confident in 2H26 growth underpinned by multiple
building blocks; 2) Strong growth across regions with room for expansion in geos; 3)
Broad based strength across pillars; 4) Adyen’s superior technology remains key
competitive advantage; 5) Capital allocation strategy focused on growth. Buy, on CL.
…
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