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First Abu Dhabi Bank (FAB.AD): Data Update: Minor estimate revisions
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Equity Research
29 July 2026 | 7:30PM GST
First Abu Dhabi Bank (FAB.AD): Data Update: Minor estimate revisions
Estimate changes
We update our estimates post FAB’s 2Q26 results. Our 2026-28 EPS estimates
increase by c.2% on average, mainly driven by higher NII and fees, along with lower
credit costs, partially offset by other NIR. On the back of our estimate changes, our
new 12-month price target is AED22.0 (from AED21.0).
Valuation and key risks
We are Buy rated on FAB with a 12-month price target of AED22.0. We value the
bank using a ROTE/COE methodology on 2027E ROTE to arrive at our price target.
Key downside risks to our view and price target include: (1) lower-than-expected
NIMs, (2) regulatory changes impacting revenue and capital, (3)
worse-than-expected asset quality, and (4) value-dilutive capital deployment.
FAB.AD
12m Price Target: AED22.00
Price: AED18.90
+971(4)214-9958 |
Goldman Sachs International
Ashwath P T, CFA
Goldman Sachs International
Gokul Vinayak L
Goldman Sachs India SPL
Upside: 16.4%
Buy
GS Forecast
Market cap:
AED208.8bn / $56.9bn
3m ADTV: NA
United Arab Emirates
CEEMEA Financials
Tang. equity/tang. assets (%): 8.1
M&A Rank: 3
Net inc. (AED mn)
12/25
20,431.0
12/26E
20,834.9
12/27E
23,005.3
12/28E
25,201.4
Tang. BVPS (AED)
10.19
11.25
12.43
13.73
EPS (AED) New
1.85
1.89
2.08
2.28
EPS (AED) Old
1.85
1.87
2.04
2.23
DPS (AED)
0.80
0.82
0.90
0.98
GS ROTE (%)
19.2
17.6
17.4
P/E (X)
8.5
10.0
9.1
8.3
Dividend yield (%)
5.1
4.3
4.8
5.2
CET1 ratio (%)
13.3
13.4
13.8
14.4
3/26
6/26
9/26E
12/26E
0.43
0.50
0.46
0.49
EPS (AED)
Kazim Andac
Source: Company data, Goldman Sachs Research estimates, FactSet. Price as of 28 Jul 2026 close.
Goldman Sachs does and seeks to do business with companies covered in its research reports. As a result, investors
should be aware that the firm may have a conflict of interest that could affect the objectivity of this report.
Investors should consider this report as only a single factor in making their investment decision. For Reg AC
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