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REAL-TIME GLOBAL RESEARCH

Daily Financial Markets Monitor

Published: 2026-08-17Institution: JPMorganPages: 9Original language: English

Research evidence excerpt

J P M O R G A N

Global Economic Research

17 August 2026

Daily Financial Markets Monitor

Global stocks were little changed. US shares retreated 0.5%, while those in the

Euro area fell 0.2%. Japanese equities moved up 0.7%. Stocks in emerging

markets gained 0.5% on net.

The 5-year Treasury yield added 1bp to 4.38%. Meanwhile, the 10-year

Treasury yield increased 3bp to 4.73% and the 30-year yield added 6bp to

5.32%.

The price of Brent crude oil moved up 2.7% to $90.88/bbl.

The trade-weighted dollar moved down 0.1% today. Meanwhile, the euro was

unchanged and the yen weakened 0.2%.

Global equities

J.P.Morgan Global Economic Activity Surprise Index

Index

325

Index

40

30

275

20

225

10

0

175

-10

125

-20

75

16

17

18

19

20

21

22

23

24

25

-30

26

16

17

18

Source: J.P. Morgan

Source: Bloomberg Finance L.P., J.P. Morgan

19

20

21

22

23

24

25

26

Government Debt

US Treasury yields

US Treasuries yield curve

Percent per annum; both scales

Yield curves: %.p.a.

5.3

4.8

4.3

3.8

3.3

2.8

2.3

1.8

1.3

0.8

0.3

5.5

5.0

4.5

4.0

3.5

3.0

2.5

2.0

1.5

1.0

0.5

0.0

10-year

2-year

16

17

18

19

20

21

22

23

24

25

26

UK

3.0

4.0

2.0

1.0

3.0

3.2

6.0

2.4

5.0

1.6

0.8

Germany

16

4.0

0.0

3m

2yr

5yr

10yr

30yr

Percent per annum, over 10-year German bund

Japan

14

5.0

European 10-year sovereign bond yields over 10-year German bunds

Percent per annum; both scales

12

6.0

Source: Bloomberg Finance L.P., J.P. Morgan

10-year sovereign debt yields

7

6

5

4

3

2

1

0

-1

t-1y

Current

Bars: 1-day ch; bps

6.0

1m

Source: Bloomberg Finance L.P., J.P. Morgan

t-2y

t-6m

18

20

22

24

Spain

4.0

Italy

3.0

2.0

0.0

1.0

-0.8

0.0

France

12

26

14

16

18

20

22

24

26

Source: Bloomberg Finance L.P., J.P. Morgan

Global Credit and Money Markets

Euro area financials CDS spread

US fixed bank CP/CD minus US generic government 3-month yield

bp

325

bps

150

275

125

225

100

175

75

50

125

25

75

0

25

12

14

16

18

Source: Bloomberg Finance L.P., J.P. Morgan

20

22

24

26

-25

16

17

18

19

20

21

22

23

Source: Bloomberg Finance L.P., J.P. Morgan

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