REAL-TIME GLOBAL RESEARCH
Roblox Corp (RBLX.N): RoMonitor Week 33 Update: CCUs Up 6% Sequentially
Research evidence excerpt
Vi ewp oint |
17 Aug 2026 11:24:18 ET │ 19 pages
Roblox Corp (RBLX.N)
RoMonitor Week 33 Update: CCUs Up 6% Sequentially
CITI'S TAKE
During week 33 (August 10th to August 16th), RoMonitor suggests average
peak CCUs were 17.1 million, down 17% versus the year-ago period but up
6% compared to the prior week. While company guidance for 3Q26
bookings of $1.57 billion to $1.65 billion surprised us, the only way we can
make sense of the guide is to moderate bookings per payer. If we assume
$51 (down from $58 in 2Q26), we believe CCU trends are consistent with
bookings of $1.68 billion. This is just above the high-end of the bookings
guidance.
Week 33 CCU Growth — During week 33 (August 10th to August 16th 2026),
RoMonitor’s average peak CCUs were 17.1 million, down 17% over the year-ago
period. However, this is against difficult compares. Sequentially, average peak CCUs
were up 6%.
Bookings Implications — Even if we make conservative assumptions for bookings
per payer – of $51 per quarter - we believe the QTD CCU data for 3Q26 is consistent
with bookings of $1.68 billion. This is just above the high end of company’s guidance
($1.65 billion) and Visible Alpha consensus of $1.61 billion.
n
Buy
Price (17 Aug 26 09:54)
US$37.78
Target price
US$60.00
Expected share price return
58.8%
Expected dividend yield
0.0%
Expected total return
58.8%
Market Cap
US$26,989M
Price Performance
(RIC: RBLX.N, BB: RBLX US)
Jason B Bazinet AC
EPS (US$)
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
FY
FC Cons
VA Cons
2025A
-0.32A
-0.41A
-0.37A
-0.45A
-1.51A
-1.54A
2.20A
2026E
-0.35A
-0.26A
-0.43E
-0.49E
-1.47E
-0.37E
Previous
-0.35A
-0.26A
-0.43E
-0.49E
-1.47E
na
2027E
-0.09E
-0.26E
-0.31E
-0.23E
-0.89E
-1.23E
0.11E
Previous
-0.09E
-0.26E
-0.31E
-0.23E
-0.89E
na
2028E
-0.14E
-0.15E
-0.08E
-0.22E
-0.59E
-0.83E
0.49E
Previous
-0.14E
-0.15E
-0.08E
-0.22E
-0.59E
na
Michael Lehman
Aarushi Gupta
Source: Company Reports and dataCentral, Citi Research. FC Cons: First Call Consensus. VA Cons: Visible Alpha Consensus.
Click here for Visible Alpha consensus data
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