REAL-TIME GLOBAL RESEARCH
Cardinal Health (CAH.N) F4Q26 Quick Take: Across-the-Board Margin Improvement Drives Beat and FY27 Guide Ahead of Expectations
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11 Aug 2026 08:24:04 ET │ 13 pages
Cardinal Health (CAH.N)
F4Q26 Quick Take: Across-the-Board Margin Improvement Drives Beat
and FY27 Guide Ahead of Expectations
CITI'S TAKE
CAH closed out distributor earnings on a solid note. While revenue was a
bit light (+5.8% y/y missing our/cons. estimates by 1.9%/2.7%), this was
more than offset by margin improvement as AOI grew 30% y/y beating
our/cons. estimates by 15.6%/14.4% driving adj. EPS up 40% y/y beating
our/cons. estimates by 19%/20% (we note this included a $100M/$0.31
AOI/EPS benefit from tariff refunds; ex-refund AOI beat our/cons by
3%/2% and EPS beat by 6%/7%). CAH introduced FY27 guidance with
profitability ahead of our expectations (revenue a bit lower largely driven
by the Pharma segment). For FY27, CAH guided to non-GAAP EPS of
$12.40–$12.60 (13–15% y/y growth) beating our/cons. expectations by
4%/3% as Pharma AOI is expected to grow 8%-11% (meeting our/cons.
estimates), Other AOI is expected to grow 15%-18% (beating our/cons. by
3%), and GMPD is expected to improve by $50M (normalizing for refunds)
beating our/cons. estimates by 7%/8%.
Buy
Price (10 Aug 26 16:00)
US$237.18
Target price
US$265.00
Expected share price return
11.7%
Expected dividend yield
0.9%
Expected total return
12.6%
Market Cap
US$55,549M
Daniel GrosslightAC
Luismario Higuera
Results — 4Q revenue was a bit below expectations, driven by topline softness
across the three segments but AOI was well above expectations (largely due to tariff
refunds). Pharma revenue came in at $58,848M (+6% y/y), missing guidance of
$59,356M–$63,448M and our/cons. estimate of by (1.6%)/(2.6%), with growth
driven by brand and specialty pharmaceutical sales growth from existing customers.
Pharma AOI was $645M (1.1% margin), beating guidance of $617M–$639M and
our/cons. by 1.2%/1.7%, driven by brand and specialty products and positive
generics program performance. GMPD segment revenue came in at $3,128M ((2.2)%
y/y) missing guidance of $3,171M–$3,424M and our/cons. by (6.0%)/(3.9%), driven
by lower overall distribution volumes, partially offset by CAH branded
growth/volume recovery. GMPD segment profit of $150M ($50M ex-tariffs) beat
…
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