REAL-TIME GLOBAL RESEARCH
NTT (9432) 1Q results: In line with our estimates; awaiting announcement of mobile price hikes
Research evidence excerpt
J P M O R G A N
Asia Pacific Equity Research
07 August 2026
NTT (9432)
1Q results: In line with our estimates; awaiting
announcement of mobile price hikes
Neutral: NTT reported 1Q operating profit of ¥425.1 billion (+4.9% YoY; our
estimate ¥423.9 billion; Bloomberg consensus estimate ¥411.9 billion) and
adjusted EBITDA of ¥836.2 billion (+4.3%; ¥849.8 billion; ¥847.1 billion), in line
with our estimates and the Bloomberg consensus estimates. Operating profit beat
our estimate in the others segment on a concentration of real estate sale gains in 1Q,
generally offsetting shortfalls in other business segments (NTT Docomo, NTT
East/West, NTT Data). NTT said progress was in line with guidance, but our
impression is that the earnings progress rate for overseas business at NTT Data
needs to catch up.
Neutral
9432.T, 9432 JP
Price (06 Aug 26):¥155
Price Target (Dec-26):¥150
Japan Equity Research
IT Services and Telecoms
Matthew Henderson AC
(81-3) 6736-8831
JPMorgan Securities Japan Co., Ltd.
Earnings summary: (1) Integrated ICT segment (NTT Docomo): Operating
profit of ¥246.2 billion (+2.7% YoY) was slightly below our estimate of ¥250.1
billion, but it seems sales promotion costs were higher than expected. The
market was concerned about a decrease in revenue from ending 3G services in
1Q (decrease of around 200,000 handset subscriptions), but mobile revenue
held flat YoY. The consolidation of Docomo SMTB Net Bank contributed
¥10.7 billion to operating profit in the smart life business, but the business also
appears to include several billion yen in stock valuation gains as a market
factor. Enterprise business profit decreased temporarily due to large projects
with heavy upfront costs, but this was in line with guidance. Mobile revenue
fell 0.3% YoY in 1Q, narrowing the margin of decline from 0.8% YoY in 4Q
FY2025, and turned positive in July on continued net growth in MNP
subscribers. However, the number of handset subscriptions fell by 379,000
QoQ and 492,000 YoY to 52,592,000, missing our estimates for declines of
280,000 QoQ and 393,000 YoY. It seems the subscriber acquisition
environment is challenging, even allowing for the end of 3G service (about
…
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