REAL-TIME GLOBAL RESEARCH
Generali 1H26 First Take: solid beat with strong life new business growth and continued positive P&C pricing
Research evidence excerpt
J P M O R G A N
Europe Equity Research
06 August 2026
Generali
1H26 First Take: solid beat with strong life new business
growth and continued positive P&C pricing
Overweight
GASI.MI, G IM
Price (06 Aug 26):€44.83
Price Target (Dec-27):€44.00
Our Take: a solid beat that should lead to consensus upgrades. Generali’s 1H26
adjusted net result was 6% ahead of JPMe and consensus, driven mainly by a strong
result at Banca Generali. Life and P&C operating profits were closer to consensus.
In life, the insurance service result was lower than we expected, due to less positive
experience variances, offset by a higher investment result due to the timing of
private equity dividends. Life new business profits were stronger than consensus,
reflecting better margins and bodes well for the CSM growth outlook, with CSM
growth of ~5% annualised, meaningfully above guidance. In P&C, the combined
ratio of 91.5% is close to consensus and JPMe. The underlying loss ratio improved
on 1H25, but was ~0.7ppts weaker than we expected in 1H26. There were some
one-off effects in 2Q26, but even allowing for these, the improvement in
underlying loss was not as strong as we expected. P&C pricing (4.1% in 1H26) still
seems robust, helped by good motor and non-motor retail pricing effects, although
a little lower than at FY25 levels. Non-operating costs were lower than we expected
too. Overall, we would expect consensus upgrades and expect the shares to react
positively.
European Insurance
Noteworthy Areas:
(44-20) 7134-0355
2) P&C result was 1% above consensus and 1% above JPMe in 1H26,
underpinned by a better investment result with insurance service result broadly
in line. The undiscounted combined ratio of 93.8% was 0.1ppts higher than
consensus and 0.3ppts higher than JPMe, with P&C gross written premiums
1-2% higher than consensus and JPMe. The underlying loss ratio (excluding
nat cat, discounting, reserve release and man-made losses) was 63.5% vs JPMe
of 62.8% in 1H26. Looking at 1Q26 standalone, underlying loss ratio was
63.7% (or 63.2% after adjusting for one-off items) vs JPMe 62.8%. However,
the loss ratio has improved year-on-year.
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