REAL-TIME GLOBAL RESEARCH
Ralph Lauren Corporation: 1Q Beat & Raise w/ Buckets of Incremental Upside; CFO Follow-Up Takes; OW Raising PT to $463
Research evidence excerpt
J P M O R G A N
North America Equity Research
06 August 2026
Ralph Lauren Corporation
1Q Beat & Raise w/ Buckets of Incremental Upside;
CFO Follow-Up Takes; OW Raising PT to $463
Overweight
RL, RL US
Price (05 Aug 26):$380.78
▲Price Target (Dec-27):$463.00
Prior (Dec-27):$452.00
I. 1Q Top/Bottom-Line Beat Above Consensus: RL reported 1Q adj. EPS of
$4.59 (above Consensus $4.32) based on +13.4% revenue growth c/c
(exceeding our previewed +9.5% c/c forecast, Consensus +7.9%, and
roughly doubling mgmt’s +mid-to-high-single-digit growth outlook) and
operating margin expansion of +163bps to 18.7% (> Street 18.4%).
Consistent 2-Yr Stacked DTC Comp Momentum Maintained: DTC samestore-sales grew +12.0% c/c (above our raised +9.5% c/c forecast & Street
+7.8%), translating to a 2-year stack of +25.0% (consistent with 2H26’s
+25.5% 2-yr stacked growth), and supported by global AUR growth +15%
c/c reflecting continued brand elevation and strong full-price selling trends,
with lower than planned promotions.
N/A and Asia Driven Comp Outperformance…: Consistent with
our previewed expectations – N. America and Asia drove outperformance
relative to mgmt’s plan & Consensus, including N/A SSS +9% (> Street
+6.7%) and Asia +23% (well-above Street +12.6%). Both regions also
showed consistency on a 2-yr stacked basis, including N/A +21% 2-yr
stacked comps (vs. 2H26’s +20% 2-yr stack) and Asia +41% 2-yr stacked
comps (> 2H26’s +37% 2-yr stack).
…With Europe “On Internal Plan”: Europe DTC comps grew
+1.0%, consistent with mgmt’s internal plan, with a slight increase in
brick/mortar stores and +6% growth in ecommerce, and representing a 2-yr
stacked comp of +11% relative to 2H26 +20%, and mgmt citing
outperformance against market trends with increased conversion rates &
basket sizes supported by the brand elevation strategy, despite store traffic
impacted by the broader macro environment.
Gross Margin Driven Beat On AUR Upside: RL reported 1Q GPM
expansion of +140bps Y/Y to 73.7% (above Street 73.3%) driven by aboveplan AUR growth (+15% double mgmt’s +HSD% outlook), favorable
channel, and geographic mix shifts, more than offsetting incremental pressure
…
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