REAL-TIME GLOBAL RESEARCH
Pharmaceutical Sector Weekly: August 3-7: April-June results all out, Otsuka Holdings still our top pick
Research evidence excerpt
J P M O R G A N
Asia Pacific Equity Research
08 August 2026
Pharmaceutical Sector Weekly
August 3-7: April-June results all out, Otsuka Holdings
still our top pick
The pharmaceutical sector rose 3% WoW the week of August 3-7, outperforming
TOPIX (+1.8%). On an individual company basis, in addition to solid results,
Otsuka Holdings announced strong results of the Phase 3 study of IgA nephropathy
drug Voyxact showing it maintained kidney function for two years, causing the
share price to rise 14.5% WoW. In addition to solid near-term earnings, we also
expect medium- to long-term profit growth through Voyxact's growth. We
continue to recommend Otsuka Holdings as our top pick.
All companies we cover have reported April-June results. Thanks in part to the
weak yen, we confirmed solid sales progress at many companies. However, with
many companies reporting 1Q results, few revised full-year guidance, leading to
results with few surprises overall. While we found macro factors sometimes
driving the share price more than the content of individual company results right
after results announcements, we believe we are gradually going back to evaluating
company fundamentals. We look for a pharmaceutical sector re-rating based on
solid April-June results. Figures 2-4 show our comments on April-June results.
Chugai Pharmaceutical: Eli Lilly (covered by Chris Schott) reported 2Q
2026 results August 5. We believe inflection points for Foundayo are coming
into view. See our report here.
Chugai Pharmaceutical: IQVIA updated Foundayo prescription data for
Week 17 (week ending July 31) August 7. IQVIA recorded 34,219
prescriptions (+16% WoW). In particular, new prescription share of the
starting dose was 25.8%, up sharply from 19.6% the previous week, suggesting
that momentum for new patient acquisition might be picking up.
See Symphony Health US sales data for July 2026 here.
Japan Equity Research
Biotechnology & Pharmaceuticals/
Medical Technologies & Services
Seiji Wakao, Ph.D. AC
(81-3) 6736-8612
Yugo R. Kamimura, Ph.D.
(81-3) 6736-8635
Naoko Saito
(81-3) 6736-8693
JPMorgan Securities Japan Co., Ltd.
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