REAL-TIME GLOBAL RESEARCH
Reckitt: Key highlights from CEO Fireside Chat
Research evidence excerpt
Reckitt: Key highlights from CEO Fireside Chat
Celine Pannuti, CFA AC Europe Equity Research
(44-20) 7134-7123 31 July 2026 C A Z E N O V E
celine.pannuti@jpmorgan.com
Investment Thesis, Valuation and Risks
Reckitt (Neutral; Price Target: 5,800p)
Investment Thesis
We rate Reckitt shares as Neutral given mixed Core Reckitt organic growth developments
(strong EMs but weaker DMs) while the exit of Essential Home comes with stranded costs
and dilution to EPS that may hold back the ability for the company to grow EPS in absolute
in 2026. We see limited scope for either a significant improvement in operational delivery
or re-rating (given that the stock does not screen as compellingly inexpensive vs peers on
EV/EBITDA 27E) to drive shares in the near term, leading to our Neutral rating. And whilst
the EH business has been exited, SOTP realisation is also contingent on visibility on Mead
Johnson value.
Valuation
We set a Dec-27 DCF-derived PT of £58.
Reckitt: DCF Valuation
PV of Cash Flow 20,500
Terminal value (PV) 24,411
Firm Value 44,911
-Net Debt/(Cash) 7,840
Equity Value 37,071
Nb of shares 638
Equity Value per Share (£) 58
WACC 8.5%
LT Growth Rate 1.5%
Source: J.P. Morgan estimates.
Risks to Rating and Price Target
We believe the key downside risks that could keep our rating and target price from being
achieved include: continued growth disappointment, higher costs for the new organisational
structure, high raw material costs, worse than expected outcome for NEC liability cases and
a deterioration in trading conditions in Europe and the US, driven by weaker consumer
demand as well as heightened competition. Upside risks include: faster-than-expected
disposal of non-core assets (or interest in Core Reckitt in totality) as well as limited liability
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