REAL-TIME GLOBAL RESEARCH
Puma: Still in transition
Research evidence excerpt
Puma: Still in transition
w, Puma is still at an early stage of its turnaround. We have Specialist Sales contact details:
not identified any early signs of meaningful inflection either in product heat or in Olivia Petronilho - Specialist Sales -
brand perception, as confirmed by our recent channel checks. This is not helped by an European Consumer
otherwise challenging consumer environment, as already flagged by Puma and other (44-20) 3493-3709
industry participants. We remain Neutral at this stage. olivia.b.petronilho@jpmorgan.com
Key Changes (FYE Dec)
Additional takeaways from the call include:
Prev Cur Δ
• Outlook: In addition to confirming FY guidance, management guided for Q3 RevenueRevenue -- 26E27E (€(€ mn)mn) 6,9207,222 6,9937,317 1.0%1.3%
sales to decline but to improve sequentially from Q2, with further improvement Adj. EPS - 26E (€) (0.85) (0.82) 4.3%
into Q4. Management reiterated that 2027 will be a year of growth, built on Adj. EPS - 27E (€) 0.33 0.34 3.8%
momentum in their four DNA categories, DTC acceleration, and rebuilding Adj. EBITDA - 26E (€ mn) 370 371 0.1%
Adj. EBITDA - 27E (€ mn) 613 616 0.6% wholesale. They assumed industry growth of LSD to MSD next year.
• Product: Running/Training (NITRO) and HYROX were the highlight of Style Exposure
Puma’s performance category. Speedcat/Low-profile remains the standout in
Sports Style, with strong momentum at select NA and SE Asia accounts.
Management highlighted strong World Cup brand exposure and jersey sell-
out, but no significant commercial gain from the tournament.
• Inventory: Inventories declined -15.3% to €1.8bn and continued to fall
sequentially in Q2, supported by lower purchasing volumes and ongoing
clearance, primarily via factory outlets. Management stated they are "very
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