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REAL-TIME GLOBAL RESEARCH

Strong 2Q26 earnings may not be sustainable Quick Note

Published: 2026-07-30Institution: NomuraPages: 7Original language: EnglishEvidence page: 1

Research evidence excerpt

Strong 2Q26 earnings may not be sustainable Quick Note

Global Markets Research

SK Innovation 096770.KS 096770 KS 30 July 2026

EQUITY: OIL & GAS/CHEMICALS

RatingStrong 2Q26 earnings may not be sustainable Remains Neutral

Target price KRW 118,000 RemainsQuick Note

Closing priceSK Innovation (SKI) on 30 July reported 2Q26 revenue of KRW29.2tn (+20.0% q-q, 30 July 2026 KRW 116,600

+49.9% y-y), operating profit of KRW3.5tn (+61% q-q and turned to profit y-y) and net

profit of KRW73.5bn (-92% q-q and turned to profit y-y). Revenue and operating profit

were above the recent one-month Bloomberg consensus estimates by 6% and 121%, Research Analysts

respectively. The stronger-than-expected earnings were attributable to the oil refining Asia Energybusiness (exports, and not the domestic business due to the Korean government’s cap of

Cindy Park - NFIKdomestically sold petroleum prices) as Asia GRM rose to USD25.6/bbl in 2Q26 (1Q26 cindy.park@nomura.com

average: USD8.1/bbl, 2025 average: USD4.8bbl), and its lubricant business. On a +822 3783 2324

consolidated basis, SKI recorded an inventory valuation gain of KRW1.2tn (KRW170bn+

Dongmin Lee - NFIKq-q), which is 34% of 2Q26 operating profit. Regarding non-operating losses, SKI incurred dongmin.lee@nomura.com

a price return swap related valuation loss of KRW1.2tn – related to the valuation decline of +822 3783 2338

underlying assets, SKIET (361610 KS, Not rated) and SK On (unlisted).

Key highlights from the 2Q26 earnings call are:

• SKI recorded strong earnings in its lubricant business, driven by solid sales from its

Group III base oil and the Middle-East supply disruptions affecting competitors. The

company provided a cautious outlook for 3Q26E, expecting supply disruptions to ease

as the US-Iran conflict de-escalates.

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