REAL-TIME GLOBAL RESEARCH
Equity Strategy: Q2 Earnings Season Tracker
Research evidence excerpt
Equity Strategy: Q2 Earnings Season Tracker
J P M O R G A N Global Markets Strategy
31 July 2026
Equity Strategy
Q2 Earnings Season Tracker
• We are in the busiest weeks of the Q2 reporting season, with between 50 - 60% Equity Strategy
AC of companies having reported in the US and in Europe. Earnings growth is Mislav Matejka, CFA
coming in better than consensus expected, at +20% y/y in the US, and +22% (44-20) 7134-9741
y/y in Europe, implying a positive surprise factor of 8% pts and 4% pts, mislav.matejka@jpmorgan.com
respectively. The strong delivery this quarter is broadbased, with all sectors in J.P. Morgan Securities plc
the US, and nearly all in Europe, seeing better EPS vs Q2 '25. In addition to the Prabhav Bhadani, CFA
positive EPS surprise, the breadth of beats is healthy, as well: the proportion of (44-20) 7742-4404
prabhav.bhadani@jpmorgan.com
companies beating EPS estimates is above average in both regions - see Fig J.P. Morgan Securities plc
4&6. Encouragingly, of the US companies that have provided guidance data,
Nitya Saldanha, CFA
the percentage that has revised up their profit outlook is the highest since 2021 (44 20) 7742 9986
- see Fig 1. nitya.saldanha@jpmchase.com
• US: 86% of S&P500 companies that have reported beat EPS estimates. EPS J.P. Morgan Securities plc
growth for these companies is at +20% y/y, surprising positively by 8% pts. Karishma Manpuria, CFA
Earnings delivery is robust across the board, with 8 sectors recording double- (91-22) 6157-4115
karishma.manpuria@jpmchase.com
digit EPS growth. Topline growth is at +12% y/y, ahead of projections by 3% J.P. Morgan India Private Limited
pts. Anamil Kochar, CFA
• Europe: Of the Stoxx600 companies that have reported so far, 59% beat EPS (91-22) 6157-5179
estimates.
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