REAL-TIME GLOBAL RESEARCH
Redeia 1H26: Model update
Research evidence excerpt
Redeia 1H26: Model update
29 July 2026
Jorge Alonso Suils
+34 915 893 913
European Utilities & Clean Energy jorge.alonso@bernsteinsg.com
Ken-Ree ChoongRedeia +44 20 7676 8243
Rating ken-ree.choong@bernsteinsg.com
Outperform Specialist Sales
Gareth Williams
Price Target +44 20 7762 5256
gareth.b.williams@bernsteinsg.com
RED.SQ 18.60 EUR (18.00 OLD)
In this short note, we present our updated Redeia model following 1H26 results.
Close Date 28 Jul 2026
1H26 results: Revenues increased +7% YoY, broadly in line with expectations, driven by RED.SQ Close Price (EUR) 15.71
the domestic regulated business, where higher new-asset commissioning, updated 2026-28 Price Target (EUR) 18.60
remuneration parameters and a one-off €24m boost from the change in regulatory useful life Upside/(Downside) 18%
of repowering assets (40 years to 8 years) lifted revenues (though EBIT neutral impact). EBITDA 52-Week Range 17.68/14.15
increased 6% YoY, in line with consensus, due to the improvement in the regulated business EDME 1,606.72
(explained above), partially offset by weaker performance from LatAm transmission (negative FYE Dec
FX impact) and fiber optic (contract renegotiations). Net profit reached €280m, +4% YoY and Div Yield 5.2%
in line with consensus, as the slight boost at the Revenue level was offset by the neutral impact Market Cap (EUR) (M) 8,306
of the regulatory useful life change at the EBIT level while below EBIT items were also broadly EV (EUR) (M) 14,533
in line with expectations. Performance YTD 1M 6M 12M
Absolute (%) 1.2 2.5 6.6 (10.0)
Guidance: Redeia reiterated its 2026 guidance, targeting EBITDA above €1,250m, net profit EDME (%) 9.1 1.3 6.5 17.8
above €510m and net debt of ~€6bn, broadly in the range of expectations. BERN estimates Relative (%) (7.9) 1.1 0.1 (27.8)
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