REAL-TIME GLOBAL RESEARCH
Danone: Post the call: FY26 expectations underpinned with better pricing and margin
Research evidence excerpt
Danone: Post the call: FY26 expectations underpinned with better pricing and margin
J P M O R G A N Europe Equity Research
29 July 2026
Danone Overweight
DANO.PA, BN FP
Post the call: FY26 expectations underpinned with Price (28 Jul 26):€72.24
better pricing and margin Price Target (Dec-27):€90.00
Following Q2/H126 results, management presented the conference call with European Food Producers,
confidence in the +3% to +5% FY26 LFL guide. By division, EDP growth Household & Personal Care
remained anchored in protein/functional platforms, with management pointing to Products, Beverages & Tobacco
an improving breadth of growth as core brands (Danone/Activia) start to contribute Celine Pannuti, CFA AC
via newer renovation, while North America commentary was incrementally better (44-20) 7134-7123
(protein “flying” and creamers stabilizing), but still framed as a progressive, celine.pannuti@jpmorgan.com
capacity-led rebuild. SN is seeing progressive recovery from recalls as shelf Edward G Hockin
presence normalizes and the focus shifts to rebuilding trust (HCP engagement, (44-20) 7742-6937
edward.hockin@jpmorgan.com
transparency, and a Q3 campaign). Management also said to expect to see “a J.P. Morgan Securities plc
continued good contribution” from China IMF in the quarters to come (we believe
SN China was cMSD growth despite the tougher comps). Meanwhile, Waters saw Specialist Sales contact details:
a good start to the season in Europe and momentum in Indonesia but weaker China Olivia Petronilho - Specialist Sales -
(weather related, though market shares holding up). On margin, SN held up well European Consumer
despite the IMF recall effect and EDP was weighed by the lag of pricing to offset (44-20) 3493-3709
inflation which should improve in H2.
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