REAL-TIME GLOBAL RESEARCH
The Point for CEEMEA
Research evidence excerpt
The Point for CEEMEA
Point |
Wednesday, 29 July 2026
MENA | South Africa | Emerging Europe | Strategy & Economics | Fixed Income & FX | Key Rating and
Target Price Changes
MENA Must Read
Dr Sulaiman Al-Habib Medical Services Group (4013.SE) - Model Update Emerging Markets Economic Outlook
We update our model post Q2 26 results as the company delivered strong revenue & Strategy - Artificial Intelligence and
(+18% y/y) and patient growth. We lower our gross margin assumptions by 60bps the EM Growth Divide
in FY26 and 100bps in FY27 to reflect higher-than-expected ramp-up costs.
Nevertheless, we continue to expect sequential margin recovery as occupancy
rates improve and recently added capacity ramps up further. Our revenue
forecasts remain largely unchanged, while we reduce EPS estimates by 5% and 7%
for FY26 and FY27, respectively. Incorporating these changes, our revised target
price stands at SAR 295. We maintain our Buy rating. The stock currently trades at
23x FY27 P/E a warranted premium to peers given its superior earnings growth
outlook. We forecast earnings to grow at a 12% CAGR over FY26-29, supporting
both the valuation premium and our positive outlook.
Michel Salameh
Banque Saudi Fransi (1050.SE) - Model Update
We have updated our model to reflect 2Q26 results and make adjustments to our
2026-29E forecasts to factor in ongoing operating trends and management
comments post the results release. Our 2026-29E attributable profit is up 5-6%
mainly due to 2-6% lower provisions also supported by slightly higher revenue and
lower costs. In addition we also lower our terminal growth forecast by 25 bps to
3.25% to align with rest of our coverage and roll forward our DDM valuation to
current date. As a result, our TP has increased to SAR 24.7/sh from SAR 23/sh
earlier.
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