REAL-TIME GLOBAL RESEARCH
Securitized Products Weekly
Research evidence excerpt
Securitized Products Weekly
J P M O R G A N North America Securitized Products
Research
24 July 2026
July 24, 2026
Securitized Products & Public
Finance Research
John Sim AC
(1-212) 834-3124
john.sim@jpmorgan.com
J.P. Morgan Securities LLC
MBS Market Commentary Nicholas Maciunas, Alexander Kraus, Sanjana
Prasad, Varun Gupta
The basis weathered the storm of higher rates early in the week before
underperforming into the continued sell-off. Though long-end yields are higher now
than in early 2025, lower vol and tighter valuations have kept mortgage rates in the
high 6s. Still, these rates will put a damper on UIC prepayments. In large rate moves,
we expect some currently non-production TBAs to become more negatively convex
given larger loan sizes for production coupon major pools versus discount/premium
majors. Mortgage REITs added over $7bn agency MBS in Q2. Floater cap distribution
is a function of both fundamental drivers, including front-end rates, curve slope, vol,
and spreads, as well as demand for complementary structures.
RMBS Credit Commentary John Sim, Ani Gelashvili, Isabella Lee
Despite record issuance volume in June, followed by a strong July, spreads have
started to retrace tighter after quarter-end pressure. This week we look at the universe
of outstanding non-QM bonds to value the issuer call option. The magnitude of the call
value varies dramatically by vintage, driven by the relationship between original rates
and today’s refinancing environment. Separately, we summarize how rating agencies
are looking at incorporating the new credit scores into their models.
ABS Market Commentary Amy Sze, Siddharth Tripathy
At near highest all-in yields of the year, ABS spreads continue to offer attractive
relative value versus comparable credits.
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