REAL-TIME GLOBAL RESEARCH
1QFY27: Weak emerging market sales growth Quick Note
Research evidence excerpt
1QFY27: Weak emerging market sales growth Quick Note
Global Markets Research
Cipla CIPL.NS CIPLA IN 24 July 2026
EQUITY: HEALTH CARE & PHARMACEUTICALS
Rating1QFY27: Weak emerging market sales growth Remains Buy
Target price INR 1,510 RemainsQuick Note
Closing price INR 1,415 22 July 2026
1QFY27: Missed our estimates
Cipla’s 1QFY27 sales/EBITDA/PAT were 3%/11%/19% below our estimates. The revenue
miss was across its key markets, i.e., India, South Africa and North America. The revenue Research Analysts
growth in India and South Africa was much weaker than we expected. In India, excluding India Pharmaceuticals
the impact of partnership agreements and acquisition, the growth was ~7% y-y with muted Saion Mukherjee - NFASL
2% y-y growth in the consumer segment. Sales in South Africa declined by at least 8% y- saion.mukherjee@nomura.com
y, by our estimate, due to loss of tender. Gross margin contracted 626bp y-y and came in +91 22 403 74184
186bp below our estimate. The y-y contraction was primarily due to lower contribution Kushal Chovatia - NFASL
from high-margin products gRevlimid and lanreotide injection. The miss in EBITDA margin kushal.chovatia@nomura.com
vs our estimate was due to lower-than-estimated branded market sales, higher raw +91 22 403 74013
material and freight costs due to the West Asia conflict and somewhat higher inventory
write-off charges during the quarter. R&D spending increased 12.5% y-y (at 6.8% of
sales), with the company pursuing select opportunities in complex generics (respiratory
and injectables) and biosimilars. EBITDA margin missed estimates by 156bp. The
company, however, retains its FY27E EBITDA margin guidance at 18.5-20.0%. This
compares to our estimate of 19.4%.
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