REAL-TIME GLOBAL RESEARCH
CHINA/HK FIRST TO MARKET
Research evidence excerpt
CHINA/HK FIRST TO MARKET
Asia Pacific Equity Research
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China/HK First to Market 24 July 2026
Top Stories
Init | China AI-Driven Drug Discovery, Hong Kong (Yang Huang)
Drug Discovery Riding the Next Wave of AI; initiate on Insilico & XtalPi at OW
We initiate coverage of two China AI-driven drug discovery (AIDD) companies, Insilico (3696.HK) and XtalPi
(2228.HK), with Overweight (OW) ratings. China’s AIDD sector is shifting from business exploration to early
commercialization, supported by rising business development (BD) activities and clinical catalysts. Our
positive view on China AIDD rests on three pillars: 1) AIDD has materially improved drug R&D productivity
and could further increase success probability through “dry-wet lab” closed loop platforms; 2) AIDD coupled
with China's structural cost and R&D pace and regulatory advantages could make China a more attractive
hotbed for applying AIDD compared to overseas; and 3)The above factors have driven Big Pharma deal
flow, clinical milestones, and significant topline growth, providing early validation for AIDD companies. We
see a multi-year rerating opportunity, with Insilico and XtalPi offering complementary investment theses. We
like Insilico for its high-risk, high reward pipeline built through AIDD and like XtalPi for its diverse businesses
led by AIDD services and robotics wet lab. We rate both Insilico and XtalPi OW with PTs of HK$71 and HK
$10, respectively.
| HK Banks, Hong Kong (Jemmy S Huang)
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