REAL-TIME GLOBAL RESEARCH
Dr. Reddy‘s Labs: Miss and margin pressures persist; Semaglutide/Abatacept timing key
Research evidence excerpt
Dr. Reddy‘s Labs: Miss and margin pressures persist; Semaglutide/Abatacept timing key
Bansi Desai, CFA AC Asia Pacific Equity Research
(91 22) 6157 3581 23 July 2026 J P M O R G A N
bansi.desai@jpmorgan.com
Price Performance Summary Investment Thesis and Valuation
Investment Thesis
We remain cautious on Dr. Reddy’s Laboratories as key growth
drivers post gRevlimid cliff - Semaglutide performance in
Canada faces risk of incremental competition and Abatacept in
the US faces regulatory and execution risk. We expect both
products to contribute ~20% to FY28/29 estimates, and any
approval delay may pose earnings risk. While the uptick in
growth in ex-US markets is encouraging, margin gains don’t
appear sustainable due to forex benefits. Trading at a premium
to Cipla and Lupin, the risk-reward is unattractive, especially
YTD 1m 3m 12m given Dr. Reddy’s inferior business mix, which has lower
Abs -5.6% -8.4% -2.8% -4.6% contribution from the India branded business (acute heavy),
Rel 2.6% -7.9% -1.2% -0.4%
higher exposure to US generics (low visibility of high-value
Company Data launches), and higher exposure to the low-growth PSAI
Shares O/S (mn) 835 segment.
52-week range (Rs) 1,414.90-1,148.40
Market cap ($ mn) 10,258 Valuation
Exchange rate 96.24 Our Sep-27 PT of Rs1,100 is based on a target P/E of 22x Sep-
Free float (%) 48.1%
3M ADV (mn) 2.67 28E EPS. Our target multiple for Dr. Reddy’s is in line with peers
3M ADV ($ mn) 36.2 such as Cipla and 10-15% lower than Lupin, which has a higher
Volatility (90 Day) 29 contribution of revenues from the India branded market.
Index NIFTY
BBG ANR (Buy | Hold | Sell) 18|10|13
Key Metrics (FYE Mar) Performance Drivers
Rs in millions FY26A FY27E FY28E FY29E
Financial Estimates
Revenue 335,933 360,287 404,902 447,515
Adj.
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