REAL-TIME GLOBAL RESEARCH
Dividend re-rating on the horizon: Quick Note
Research evidence excerpt
Dividend re-rating on the horizon: Quick Note
Nomura Securities Malaysia Sdn Bhd
Sarana Menara Nusantara TOWR.JK TOWR IJ 22 July 2026
EQUITY: TELECOMS
RatingDividend re-rating on the horizon Remains Buy
Target price IDR 950 RemainsQuick Note
Closing priceTOWR's cash flow and balance sheet are quietly laying the groundwork for what we 21 July 2026 IDR 412
believe is one of the most underappreciated catalysts in our Indonesian tower coverage: a
meaningful step-up in dividend capacity from 2027F onwards. Trailing 12-month moving
average Adjusted Funds From Operations (AFFO) reached IDR1.78tn in 1Q26, up steadily Research Analysts
from IDR1.68tn in 1Q25, IDR1.58tn in 1Q24 and IDR1.45tn in 1Q22 (refer to Fig.1) – a Indonesia Research Teamsteady expansion despite multiple rate hikes, tower consolidation and elevated capex.
Heng Siong Kong - NSMOver the same period, net debt-to-AFFO declined materially from its 4Q24 peak of 7.98x hengsiong.kong@nomura.com
to 6.58x in 1Q26 (refer to Fig.2), moving back below late-2023/early-2024 levels. In our +603 2027 6894
view, improving cash generation alongside declining leverage is the classic precursor to
higher shareholder distributions, yet we believe the market has yet to reflect this in Onshore expert
dividend expectations.
Erwin Wijaya (erwin.wijaya@verdhana.id)
The two charts below capture the same story from different perspectives. AFFO has
Theonshoreexperts,whoarecompounded at a mid-single-digit rate since 1Q22, with growth re-accelerating from 2H25
employedbyPTVerdhanaSekuritasas tenancy trends improve and cost discipline remains intact. At the same time, net debt-
Indonesia(“Verdhana”)andarenotto-AFFO – the key leverage metric for tower operators – has fallen from nearly 8.0x to licensedoutsideIndonesia,have
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