REAL-TIME GLOBAL RESEARCH
Telix Pharmaceuticals: 2Q26 acceleration skews FY26 revenue risk to upside; regulatory catalysts now key; Overweight
Research evidence excerpt
Telix Pharmaceuticals: 2Q26 acceleration skews FY26 revenue risk to upside; regulatory catalysts now key; Overweight
cting 1-2% revenue upgrades and a nearer
timeframe for these regulatory catalysts. Half Yearly Forecasts (FYE Dec)
Adj. EPS ($)
• PSMA Imaging continues to deliver solid beats. 1H26 revenue of US$477m 2025A 2026E 2027E
was 5% above consensus as 2Q26 revenue of US$247m showed further H1 (0.01) (0.03) (0.02)
H2 (0.01) 0.01 0.03
momentum from US$230m in 1Q (+7% QoQ). Compositionally, Precision FY (0.02) (0.01) 0.01
Medicine accelerated to 30% YoY, from 23% YoY in 1Q26, driven by share
gains in the PSMA Imaging market that is continuing to trend positively. Style Exposure
• Guidance nudged towards top of previous range; JPMe now modestly
above upper end. TLX now points to the upper end of the previous FY26
guidance range (US$950-970m). Based on a solid 1H26, we post US$10m
upgrades to Gozellix (FY26e revenue), driving +1-2% upgrades for FY26-28.
• Regeneron. We incorporate +US$40m other income received as part of the
Regeneron partnership (excluded from adj NPAT). The collaboration currently
includes four programs with optionality for REGN to co-commercialize each
on a per-program basis. If all were fully partnered, TLX would generate
potential milestones up to US$2.1bn and low-double-digit royalties.
• R&D guidance up by US$30m. We raise R&D from US$218m to US$233m
to reflect the new guidance of US$230-270m. We still view a not-insignificant
portion of R&D as discretionary, i.e. in periods where revenue tracks ahead of
expectations, we would expect incrementally higher R&D, and vice versa.
• BiPASS (biopsy) could materially increase the TAM. BiPASS enrollment
was reported to be nearing completion (having been increased from n=250 to
now n=338).
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