REAL-TIME GLOBAL RESEARCH
China Battery Materials: What‘s New at 2026 China ESS and Battery Chain Tour: Meeting with Lithium Expert
Research evidence excerpt
China Battery Materials: What‘s New at 2026 China ESS and Battery Chain Tour: Meeting with Lithium Expert
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20 Jul 2026 15:19:10 ET │ 8 pages
China Battery Materials
What’s New at 2026 China ESS and Battery Chain Tour: Meeting with
Lithium Expert
CITI'S TAKE
We hosted the 2026 China ESS and Battery Chain Tour and met with Ms.
Bonnie Song, an independent trader/lithium expert, on 13th Jul. In 2027E,
global lithium demand is expected to increase 400-450kt YoY and supply Jack Shang, CFAAC
is expected to increase 340kt YoY, mainly from Australia, recycling +852-2501-2441
lithium, Argentina, JXW mine, etc. Therefore, Ms. Song is positive on jack.shang@citi.com
lithium price in 2027E. However, if the Zimbabwe export ban is released, Anna Wang
2027E global lithium supply could increase 70kt compared with base +852-2501-2739
case. Key takeaways are as follows. anna.d.wang@citi.com
Jimmy Feng
Lithium concentrate – The lithium concentrate inventory at domestic ports was +852-2501-7588
327kt on 10th Jul, down 39kt WoW, driven by strong demand. The concentrate jimmy.feng@citi.com
inventory days at refinery is 1-3 months. The lithium concentrate imported from
Cynthia Wu
Zimbabwe is expected to arrive starting from Jul and fully resume in Sep-Oct. To
+852-2868-7813
encourage domestic lithium refinery, Zimbabwe will ban concentrate export from cynthia.d.wu@citi.com
Jan 2027 and Ms. Song expects only Huayou’s lithium refinery plant to be ready by
then, while other producers are negotiating with the govt to potentially extend the
deadline to mid-2027.
Lithium refinery – The lithium refineries are positive on lithium price and not active
in spot sales while mainly fulfilling long-term contracts. The LC inventory at traders
is low currently.
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