REAL-TIME GLOBAL RESEARCH
Citi‘s Most Read - North America
Research evidence excerpt
Citi‘s Most Read - North America
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US Machinery - 2Q26 Earnings Preview: Let the Good Times Roll?
We have caught up with our Machinery coverage and updated models ahead of
2Q26 earnings. Machinery stocks, on average, have continued to outperform the
broader market year-to-date, which we think has set a higher bar into 2Q results.
That said, we think the majority of companies under our coverage can beat & raise
guidance or maintain guidance at minimum, as we think improving demand trends
across machinery end-markets (construction & truck in particular) have shown
enough to counterbalance the macro/policy uncertainty narrative. We updated our
rental co estimates last week (here), reflective of what we view as an increasingly
robust medium-term outlook. Our most significant estimate revisions lie in our
2027 CV estimates, as we think recent policy clarity is supportive of higher
industry volumes. While there is still not much to be excited about in ag, recent
section 232 changes should support some margin lift in 2H26.
Kyle Menges
Netflix, Inc (NFLX.O) - Engagement Up, But Guide Unchanged Disappointing
(the Few) Bulls
Netflix reported 2Q26 results relatively in line with Street expectations. However,
its 3Q26 guidance came in slightly below consensus. In addition, Netflix narrowed
its full-year revenue outlook (with the midpoint holding steady at $51.2 billion).
Beyond the results and outlook, Netflix reported 1H26 view hours were up 2% y/y
(a slight y/y acceleration). We expect investors to be pleased by the LSD growth in
engagement and by the quarterly buyback (the largest to date). However, we
expect shares to trade lower tomorrow given: 1) lower UCAN revenue in 2Q26; 2)
slightly disappointing 3Q26 outlook; 3) the company did not raise full-year
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