REAL-TIME GLOBAL RESEARCH
Enpro Inc.: Seals, Chips & Compounding Value: The Enpro 3.0 Story: Initiating at Overweight with YE27 PT of $420
Research evidence excerpt
Enpro Inc.: Seals, Chips & Compounding Value: The Enpro 3.0 Story: Initiating at Overweight with YE27 PT of $420
riving our AST revenue Q3 1.99 2.23 2.70
estimate of ~+12.5% to $463M in 2026 and +10.1% to $510M in 2027, and Q4 1.99 2.45 2.91
profitability improving toward a ~25% exit run-rate by year-end 2026. FY 7.93 9.15 10.99
• Sealing Technologies: High-Margin, Aftermarket-Led Durability: The authors wish to thank Rakshit Jain,
Sealing provides a stability anchor through engineered solutions protecting of the J.P. Morgan Global Research
critical environments. Aftermarket exposure, roughly 60% of segment sales, Center, for contributions to this report.
generates recurring, specification-driven demand. In 1Q26, Sealing posted a
32.5% adjusted EBITDA margin, marking nine consecutive quarters above
Pricing in this note is as of the close of 30%, despite commercial vehicle weakness and soft international industrial
demand. We forecast ~13% revenue growth in 2026, driven largely by 7.5% July 16, 2026, unless otherwise stated.
inorganic contribution, with 2027 normalizing to mid-single-digit growth as
cyclical headwinds ease and acquisition contributions annualize.
• Operating Framework: Compounding Returns Augmented by a Strong
Capital Positioning: Enpro 3.0 pairs mid- to high-single-digit organic growth
with capability-expanding M&A funded by free cash flow rather than excess
leverage. Net leverage sits at 1.9x with ~$630M in revolver availability and a
single 2033 maturity, providing capacity for tuck-in acquisitions without
balance sheet strain. First-quarter free cash flow more than doubled YoY to
$26.5M, and ~$50M capex guidance implies rising conversion as growth
spending normalizes. The compounding effect of high-margin organic growth
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