REAL-TIME GLOBAL RESEARCH
ICICI Prudential Life Insurance (ICIR.BO): Strong VNB margin print
Research evidence excerpt
ICICI Prudential Life Insurance (ICIR.BO): Strong VNB margin print
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15 Jul 2026 15:10:30 ET │ 14 pages
ICICI Prudential Life Insurance
(ICIR.BO)
Strong VNB margin print
CITI'S TAKE
VNB margin increased ~220/155 bps YoY/QoQ to 26.7% aided by favourable Buy
shift in business mix, improvement in cost ratios (-50 bps YoY in savings), Price (15 Jul 26 15:30) Rs524.80
and absorption of yield curve benefits. Share of margin accretive retail Target price Rs945.00↑protection, group protection, and annuities was +300/300/85 bps YoY.
Business growth through partnership distribution channels is encouraging. from Rs885.00
ICICI Prudential’s current benign valuation largely ascribes negligible Expected share price return 80.1%
growth in VNB over the next decade, based on reverse valuation. Investor
Expected dividend yield 0.5%concerns largely pertained to growth in individual business, margin profile,
potential overhang of stake sale by Prudential, reduction in business Expected total return 80.5%
volumes at a key banca channel post Prudential’s new planned acquisition Market Cap Rs761,381M
of Bharti Axa and sustained negative releases in annual EV. Growth has
US$8,072Mlargely revived and margin trends are robust. Management has alluded to
comfortable operational band across most assumptions, on the overall
book. We remain constructive on gradual re-rating. Buy. Rollover to
Jun’28E. TP Rs945.
Price Performance
Change in estimates — We raise our VNB estimates by 5-7% over the medium-term, (RIC: ICIR.BO, BB: IPRU IN)
capturing higher base of margin on the back of favourable business mix shift
towards protection and annuities. Additionally, we expect gradual uptick in the non-
par business. Tailwinds to credit protect business are likely to sustain. Finally,
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