REAL-TIME GLOBAL RESEARCH
The SMID Point
Research evidence excerpt
The SMID Point
26.9% prior and ~27.8% guidance midpoint). With updated est. and a 15.5x NTM
EBITDA multiple (raised from 13.5x on better-than-expected demand,
consolidated distribution network, and share gains) we raise our TP to $52.
Neutral | Target price US$52.00
Anthony Pettinari
Bull/Bear: Trex Company
Industry
North America Gaming - Prediction Markets Facing a String of Court Losses to
States
On Monday, we hosted a call with sports betting and prediction markets
regulatory expert Daniel Wallach, founder of Wallach Legal LLC. In the
conversation, we spoke about new developments and revisited topics in the
regulatory environment for prediction markets following Kalshi’s preliminary-
injunction loss in New York. Legal losses by Kalshi would lessen the perceived
overhang against both DKNG and FLUT, as prediction markets have been seen as,
at best, significant encroachers on traditional OSB products, and at worst
existential threats. However, both companies see prediction markets as material
and overwhelmingly incremental growth opportunities, while we believe the
answer is somewhere in-between.
James Hardiman | Monique Pollard | Sean Wagner | Jamie Bass
North America Telecommunications Infrastructure - New York State Set to Ban
Data Center Construction for Up to a Year
WSJ reported this morning (link) that NY Gov. Kathy Hochul is set to sign an
executive order that will temporarily ban large construction of new data centers for
up to a year to give the state time to create data center regulations that can help
the environment and energy grid. The headlines and development raise the risk
profile around future data center development, especially if other states and
municipalities more aggressively slow or pause data center development. More
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