REAL-TIME GLOBAL RESEARCH
AIBG - Positive Catalyst Watch; First Glances - SEB, SHBA, STO, ICG; US IBs - Positive Read; OW Bankinter
Research evidence excerpt
AIBG - Positive Catalyst Watch; First Glances - SEB, SHBA, STO, ICG; US IBs - Positive Read; OW Bankinter
Gigi Sparling - Specialist Sales - European Financials AC (44-20) 7134-0355 Europe Specialist Sales J P M O R G A Nghislaine.sparling@jpmorgan.com
J.P. Morgan Securities plc 15 July 2026
AIBG - Positive Catalyst Watch; First Glances - SEB, SHBA, STO, ICG;
US IBs - Positive Read; OW Bankinter
Gigi Sparling
+44 207 134 0355
ghislaine.sparling@jpmorgan.com
Today: Spanish CPI (8am); US MBA mortgage applications (midday); US PPI (1.30pm)
7 Key Highlights Today:
1. IRISH BANKS - In defence of the deposit base. AIBG on Positive Catalyst Watch.
2. SEB: First glance: First Glance - Better NII, cost guidance higher for FX
3. Handelsbanken: First Glance - Look weak
4. Storebrand: First Glance - Positive
5. ICG: First glance positive- business very much on track.
6. US IBs - Positive Readacross
7. Overweight Bankinter - Unloved and undervalued
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IRISH BANKS - In defence of the deposit base. Sheel places AIBG on Positive Catalyst Watch where we think fears of a
change in the competitive landscape are overstated. On the surface, the number of sector participants has increased (Monzo &
Marcus joining Revolut, BAWAG, Avant) however, feedback from our Irish banks tour indicates still-limited deposit leakage to
competitors and we believe the market underestimates behavioural anchors such as customer trust and a preference for liquidity
which keep Irish betas low.
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