REAL-TIME GLOBAL RESEARCH
Asia‘s El Niño playbook: Eight lessons from 25 years of shocks: Why oil prices, irrigation and policy can sometimes matter more than rainfall.
Research evidence excerpt
Asia‘s El Niño playbook: Eight lessons from 25 years of shocks: Why oil prices, irrigation and policy can sometimes matter more than rainfall.
Global Markets Research
10 July 2026Asia Economic Monthly
Economics - ASEAN/Asia Pacific/Asia ex-Japan
Research AnalystsAsia's El Niño playbook: Eight lessons from 25
Asia Economicsyears of shocks
Sonal Varma - NSL
Why oil prices, irrigation and policy can sometimes matter more than rainfall. sonal.varma@nomura.com
+65 6433 6527
Ting Lu - NIHK
ting.lu@nomura.com
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Euben Paracuelles - NSL Has Asia’s chip export cycle peaked?
euben.paracuelles@nomura.com
•Yes •No •Can'tsay +65 6433 6956
Aurodeep Nandi - NFASL
aurodeep.nandi@nomura.com
Forecast table 2 +91 22 4037 4087
Asia letter 3
Jeong Woo Park - NSL Asia's El Niño playbook: Eight lessons from 25 years of shocks 3
jeongwoo.park@nomura.com
Outlooks 2026-27 12 +65 6433 6197
Australia: Below trend 12
Japan Economics China: A K-shaped economy is materializing 13
Hong Kong: Trade is benefiting notably from the global AI supercycle 14 Kyohei Morita - NSC
kyohei.morita@nomura.com India: Improvement in macro conditions 15
+81 3 6703 1395
Indonesia: Not out of the woods 16
Japan: A renewed focus on the relationship between the government... 17 Australia Economics
Korea: We see a July hike as highly likely 18 Andrew Ticehurst - NAL
Malaysia: Elections won’t derail growth 19 andrew.ticehurst@nomura.com
Philippines: Peaking CPI inflation but not core 20 +61 2 8062 8611
Singapore: Staying strong 21
Taiwan: Rate hikes are still on the cards 22
Thailand: Watch the twin deficits 23
Monthly calendar 24
Asia views 25
Asia: Is the export upcycle broadening beyond tech? 25
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