REAL-TIME GLOBAL RESEARCH
The Point for Europe
Research evidence excerpt
The Point for Europe
Point |
Monday, 13 July 2026
Top Call | Company | Industry | Strategy & Economics | Commodities | Fixed Income & FX | Key Rating
and Target Price Changes
Top Call Must Read
Global Equity Quarterly - Back to the Broadening Debate Global Economic Outlook & Strategy -
Global equities have climbed c10% YTD, though leadership has been concentrated The Resilient Global Economy—
into Tech. With geopolitical risks easing (until recently) and signs of rotation away Cascading Supply Shocks
from crowded AI trades, many of our conversations are returning to the likelihood
of “broadening” performance in 2H26. The success of broadening relies on: (1)
sustained cyclical improvement in macro/EPS revisions, and (2) a sustained pause
in Tech outperformance. On cyclical recovery, we are encouraged by upside
surprises in economic data and more broad-based EPS upgrades. However, Tech
continues to screen highly in our models, supported by standout earnings
growth/momentum and attractive valuations. While AI volatility may remain
elevated over the coming quarter, we maintain our Overweight stance on global IT
and the US with a medium-term view. We pair these Growth exposures with O/Ws
in Cyclical regions/sectors (Japan, Financials, Materials). We remain broadly
constructive on equities, targeting c6% upside for the MSCI ACWI to end-26.
Beata M Manthey, Ph.D. | David Groman | Nikhil N Jadhav, CFA | Scott T Chronert | Patrick Galvin, CFA
Deutsche Telekom AG (DTEGn.DE) - Fears dominate the narrative, but
operations remain strong
We expect Q2 to see TMUS report strong growth (revenue +9% yoy, EBITDA +10%)
and Germany to see trends slightly better than Q1 (service revenue +1.2%,
EBITDAaL +2.6%). However, fears about LEO satellite constellations, and
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