REAL-TIME GLOBAL RESEARCH
The Point for Australia/NZ
Research evidence excerpt
The Point for Australia/NZ
Point |
Monday, 13 July 2026
Company | Global | Key Rating and Target Price Changes
Company
WiseTech Global (WTC.AX) - Upgrading Cargowise forecasts for DSV contract
timeline; See consensus as a bit high for FY27e revenue and low for EBITDA
With Wisetech providing clarity on DSV's contract commitment, we update the
phasing for DSV's migration off Cargowise. This results in 9% upgrade to FY28e
NPAT as we now assume a lower impact in FY28e and that DSV completely rolls-
off in 2H29e. While DSV is under contract till Sep'28 and Wisetech's contracts
typically have a minimum level of commitment, we have assumed that some
volume starts migrating in FY28e. Further, migrations typically do take longer and
can be more expensive and our new forecasts could also end being too low;
however, with DSV running two systems we have assumed that it will try and
migrate as fast as possible. We continue to see consensus revenue growth
assumptions for FY27e as being too high, but see 4% upside to EBITDA due to the
recent RiF. Maintain Buy with a new target price of $55.05.
Siraj Ahmed
Global
Global Economics - Global PMI Flash: Growing Momentum but Geopolitical
Risks Linger
The global manufacturing PMI in June edged down to 52.2 but remained near its
strongest readings in recent years. The computing subindex of the global
electronics PMI hit a record high, outside of the early 2000s dot-com boom and
the post-GFC recovery, reflecting surging AI demand. Global manufacturing input
costs cooled in June as oil prices retreated but remained elevated. The global
services PMI meanwhile strengthened for the third consecutive month to 51.7,
suggesting that the momentum these sectors displayed prior to the conflict is
reemerging.
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