REAL-TIME GLOBAL RESEARCH
Talking Shop: Results from Suedzucker, Barry; Tesco disposing of Central Europe?; Picard‘s new issue
Research evidence excerpt
Talking Shop: Results from Suedzucker, Barry; Tesco disposing of Central Europe?; Picard‘s new issue
J P M O R G A N Europe Credit Research
10 July 2026
Talking Shop
Results from Suedzucker, Barry; Tesco disposing of
Central Europe?; Picard’s new issue
Europe Corporate Credit - Retailing
& Consumer Products
Neill Keaney AC
(44 20) 7134-2002
neill.keaney@jpmorgan.com
J.P. Morgan Securities plc
By virtue or curse (depending on your perspective) of an over-indexing to
issuers (particularly UK issuers) whose fiscal years do not align with the
calendar year, Retail and Consumer credit does not have distinct earnings Pricing as of 09 July 2026 at CoB UKT
seasons, per se. That said, after a quieter couple of weeks on that front, activity with the exception of the tables on pages
has increased with Suedzucker (F1Q27 to the end of May) and Barry 2 and 3; pricing as of 08 July 2026, CoB
Callebaut (F3Q26 / C2Q26) both reporting this week. We recap both in this UKT
edition of Talking Shop, as well as considering Tesco’s reported
contemplation of a divestment of its Central Europe operations.
Soundbite of the Week: “Now today, as you may have noted, prices are
more around the 4,000 level. And assuming stable bean prices from this
level, where we are today, we expect leverage to be around 3 times.” – Hein
Schumacher, CEO Barry Callebaut
Both HY pub issuers, Stonegate and Punch, have seen spreads tighten in recent Figure 1: PUBLN vs STONPB
weeks on the back of World Cup enthusiasm and an expected earnings tailwind G-sprd (bp)
from the warm weather. That said, Punch has outperformed to the point where the 800 2.6x
differential (in ratio terms) between the PUBLN £’30s and STONPB £’29s is back 700600
near all-time wides (2.5x). Whilst PUBLN notes benefit from another year of call 500
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