REAL-TIME GLOBAL RESEARCH
PEP, LEVI, COST, PLNT, LW, Chase Spending Data: US Consumer Sector Specialist Commentary
Research evidence excerpt
PEP, LEVI, COST, PLNT, LW, Chase Spending Data: US Consumer Sector Specialist Commentary
Briggs Barton - Specialist Sales - US Consumer AC North America Specialist Sales J P M O R G A Nbriggs.barton@jpmorgan.com
J.P. Morgan Securities LLC 09 July 2026
Gold still “strongest” but gap to overall non-foods trends continues to moderate. Mgmt noted that jewelry is starting to
resemble a “normal” department
Majors led by memory price inflation and appliance share gains; TV’s meh. Historically, electronics is deflationary, but
memory price increases in computing and from Apple have turned the category inflationary (negating elasticity concerns and
consistent with BBY’s May inflection to a HSD comp, with this lateral suggesting continued strong June trends). On the
appliances front, COST continues to gain share with plenty of capacity in its Innovel home delivery network and sharp pricing.
Lastly, the TV category remains relatively lackluster, in our view.
PLNT Updated Thoughts
Rahul sees shares cheap enough to keep his OW, but his recent convo w/ CEO and interim CFO lead him to believe that
PLNT’s near-term growth algo is likely to remain constrained by limited pricing power, elevated member acquisition costs,
and a real estate footprint that may not support broader experience-led offerings that are increasingly common across HVLP
2.0/3.0 competitors. While the business remains FCF generative and valuation still supportive – we see a lower U.S. TAM, slower
near-medium term development and a greater need for strategic clarity to get more constructive. Rahul is hosting investors
at PLNT’s New Hampshire HQ on August 20.
From Rahul:
“We are establishing Dec-27 price target of $62 based on 17.5x F28 EPS and 2035 TAM for brand maturity in the US,
discounted back at 9%.
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