REAL-TIME GLOBAL RESEARCH
2Q26 preliminary EBIT below expectation Quick Note
Research evidence excerpt
2Q26 preliminary EBIT below expectation Quick Note
Global Markets Research
LG Energy Solution 373220.KS 373220 KS 7 July 2026
EQUITY: CHEMICALS
Rating2Q26 preliminary EBIT below expectation Remains Buy
Target price KRW 600,000 RemainsQuick Note
Closing priceLG Energy Solution (LGES) on 7 July released its 2Q26 preliminary results. Revenue 7 July 2026 KRW 332,000
increased 15.3% q-q and 24.8% y-y to KRW7.6tn. The company recorded an operating profit
of KRW113.3bn (back in the black q-q and -77.0% y-y). 2Q26 revenue was in line with the
Bloomberg consensus estimate, but its operating profit was 46% below consensus. Research Analysts
According to the company, the operating profit of KRW113.3bn in 2Q26 included a Asia Energy
potential IRA tax credit of KRW240.9bn, a part of the IRA advanced manufacturing Cindy Park - NFIK
production tax credits (AMPC; Section 45X of the IRA). We estimate that this tax credit – cindy.park@nomura.com
which is for both EV/ESS shipments – implies ~5.0GWh of battery shipments in the US, at +822 3783 2324
USD35/kWh, and indicates an increase compared to the implied US shipments of 4.0GWh Dongmin Lee - NFIK
in 1Q26 (link). Without the IRA tax credit, LGES would have posted an operating loss of dongmin.lee@nomura.com
KRW127.7bn. We think that the following might have kept 2Q26 in an operating loss +822 3783 2338
(excluding AMPC): 1) LGES’s failure to receive/recognize penalty payment from EV
battery customers contract cancellations; and 2) ESS high fixed costs in the US.
• In regard to LGES’s ESS business in the US, 1) we estimate LGES’s ESS capacity in
the US will jump to 47/75GWh by end-2026/27F (2025: 20GWh) across five
production sites; 2) supply to the largest ESS customer should begin in 2027F,
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