REAL-TIME GLOBAL RESEARCH
ASIA TECHNOLOGY TRACKER
Research evidence excerpt
ASIA TECHNOLOGY TRACKER
we see plenty of
room for stocks to be rerated if strong earnings momentum is confirmed. We highlight Hitachi (6501),
Mitsubishi Electric (6503), and Sony Group (6758).
Electronic Components: Earnings Outlook (Apr-Jun)
Estimate solid earnings overall; difficult to tell how share prices will react (Akinori Kanemoto)
We estimate solid earnings momentum in the April-June 2026 quarter especially for AI server, industrial
machinery, and automotive applications, and also expect yen depreciation versus the dollar to boost
earnings. However, passive component makers and other AI server-related stocks’ share prices rose
sharply from April, so we think weak short-term earnings could lead to prices falling for stocks with share
prices far too high relative to earnings.
Semiconductor/Tech Materials: Earnings Outlook (Apr-Jun)
Watch WFE and pricing for semiconductors, semi-related for glass, and non-domestic for cement
(Mio Shikanai)
Our order of interest for Apr-Jun results is semiconductors > glass > cement. Semiconductor-related stocks
have recently corrected due to concerns about the AI market overheating, but we maintain a bullish stance
as consensus earnings outlooks are continuing to get revised. We raised our WFE market outlook on June
17, and now forecast growth at 28% YoY in 2026, 29% in 2027, and 16% in 2028 (see herefor details), but
we believe there is still upside potential. Amid discussions about price revisions, we are also watching for
initiatives to raise profit margins without relying solely on demand. Key focus points in the glass subsector
are production capacity trends at Nittobo (3110; Overweight) and longer-term TAM growth in terms of M9
and MLCs (multi-layer cores).
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