REAL-TIME GLOBAL RESEARCH
The Point for Australia/NZ
Research evidence excerpt
The Point for Australia/NZ
Point |
Tuesday, 07 July 2026
Company | Industry | Global | Key Rating and Target Price Changes
Company
Australian Securities Exchange (ASX.AX) - EPS nudge on record trading
volumes, hard bounce keeps us Neutral
ASX’s June quarter trading volumes softened from the record volumes seen in
March but remained strong. Indeed, for 2H26 as a whole, both cash equities and
futures trading volumes reached fresh record highs, with cash volumes up 22% yoy
to A$9.5bn/day and the daily number of ASX24 contracts up ~16% yoy. Reflecting
these solid volumes, we nudge up our FY27E/28E EPS by 0.5%/0.6%. Overall,
ASX’s core business continues to perform well, with strong top-line growth, while
its valuation still looks reasonable (~20x FY27E p/e). However, with a relatively
lacklustre near-terms earnings profile and a surprisingly strong bounce off its lows
as sentiment turned quickly, we stay Neutral with a new TP of A$56.50 (+$0.30).
ASX’s new CEO starts on 1 Sep.
Nigel Pittaway | Jeff Cai, CFA | Donna Fu
Dexus (DXS.AX) - Cap Rates Nudge Higher but Rents Offset the Hit — Discount
to NTA Remains Supportive
Dexus's 30 June 2026 portfolio valuation update showed a modest -0.2% decline
in book values across its stabilised portfolio — broadly in line with our
expectations and, in our view, supportive of DXS at current discounts to NTA. The
office portfolio softened -0.4% on marginally higher capitalisation rates, while the
industrial book provided a partial offset, rising +0.5% on the back of market rental
growth. The weighted average cap rate expanded just 3 basis points to 6.06%
across the total stabilised portfolio. We view this outcome as consistent with a
market that is stabilising rather than deteriorating — the CEO's commentary
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