REAL-TIME GLOBAL RESEARCH
J.P.Morgan CEMBI Monitor
Research evidence excerpt
J.P.Morgan CEMBI Monitor
July 2, 2026
CEMBI Monitor
June 2026
CEMBI 1H 2026 Performance is +2.2% CEMBI Broad Default Rate Increased to 1 %
For Emerging Markets, the 1H 2026 return for the CEMBI Broad Diversified was +2.2%, and the EMBIG Diversified return was +3.3%. Brazilian industrial issuer Braskem SA (BRASKM) filed for emergency protection against creditors, and its
Meanwhile, in Developed Markets, the GCI IG USD DM return was +1.0%, and the GCI HY USD DM return was +1.9%. For the CEMBI Broad instruments were downgraded to D by S&P. Based on the index methodology, BRASKM, with total indexed debt of
Diversified, spread return was the main driver of the positive performance (+1.8%) versus the UST component (+0.4%). YTD, index spreads $6.8 billion, exited the CEMBI Indices at the June month-end rebalance. For additional details, see Index Alert:
tightened by 16 bps to 162 bps. Within the EM corporate credit buckets, HY (+4.0%) outperformed IG (+1.0%). At the issuer level, Ecopterol Treatment of Braskem (S&P downgrade to ‘D’).
(+9 bps), New World China (+8 bps), and Standard Chartered (+5 bps) were the top three leaders, while CSN (-3 bps), Global Logistic Prop (- In addition, Paraguayan consumer issuer Frigorifico Concepcion SA (FRICON) missed a payment on a lending
2 bps), and Aragvi Finance (-2 bps) were the top three laggards, contributing to the index return. For more details on return attribution, facility and cross-defaulted. FRICON 28s (USP4R54KAA49), with a total notional of $300 million, exited the CEMBI
please refer to page 12. Broad Indices at the June month-end rebalance.
EM Credit Index Analytics Update The 2026 CEMBI Broad default rate increased by 60 bps to 1.0%, and the 2026 CEMBI Broad HY default rate
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