REAL-TIME GLOBAL RESEARCH
Roche
Research evidence excerpt
Roche
J P M O R G A N Europe Equity Research
29 June 2026
May IQVIA data suggest our Roche US Pharma Neutral
forecast for 5% CER growth in 2Q’26 is broadly ROP.S, ROP SW
underpinned Price (26 Jun 26):CHF333.40
Price Target (Jun-27):CHF325.00
The latest May US IQVIA sales data show c. 6% sales growth for Roche’s US European Pharmaceuticals &
business in 2Q’26TD (5% growth for 1Q’26, where Roche reported 5% sales Biotechnology
growth at CER), based on our tracked audited IQVIA portfolio, capturing >95% Richard Vosser AC
of Roche’s US sales, but which misses the contribution of Evrysdi due to inaccurate (44-20) 7742-6652
data capture. Our US sales forecast of c. 5% growth at CER for 2Q’26 (once the richard.vosser@jpmorgan.com
latest FX impact on US sales is taken into account) appears to be broadly J.P. Morgan Securities plc
underpinned. The major potential differences to our forecasts highlighted by the Sophia Graeff Buhl Nielsen
IQVIA data are for: Hemlibra, which could be SFr70m too low, Ocrevus, which (44-20) 7742-3918
sophia.graeffbuhlnielsen@jpmorgan.com
could be SFr70m too high, Tecentriq, which could be SFr30m too low, Rituxan, J.P. Morgan Securities plc
which could be SFr20m too low, and Phesgo, which could be SFr15m too high. Zain Ebrahim
Overall, for 2Q’26, our analysis of the performance of individual Roche (44-20) 3493-1163
products in the US suggests that our forecast for 5% CER growth for the US zain.ebrahim@jpmorgan.com
Pharma business is broadly underpinned. J.P. Morgan Securities plc
Khushi Bihani
New Launches (91-22) 6157-4103
khushi.bihani@jpmorgan.com
J.P. Morgan India Private Limited
• Vabysmo US IQVIA sales suggest our forecast for 2Q’26 of SFr737m looks Dhitee Goel
broadly underpinned: Vabysmo IQVIA data suggests 8% growth for (44-20) 7742-2591
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