REAL-TIME GLOBAL RESEARCH
The Point for Latin America
Research evidence excerpt
The Point for Latin America
Point |
Monday, 29 June 2026
Top Call | Company | Industry | Global | Key Rating and Target Price Changes
Top Call
Motiva (MOTV3.SA) - A Good Entry Point to a Good Story, Upgrading to Buy
We are upgrading Motiva to Buy as the recent price action has likely introduced a
good entry point in a company with solid fundamentals. With the stock trading at
11% real IRR in our estimates, we see current valuation as compelling while risks
from higher capex and leverage seem under control. In this report, we also include
a sensitivity analysis of contract amendments at SPVias, Subway lines 5/17 and
AutoBAn, which look positive at first sight and don’t seem fully priced by the
market, in our view. The Regis Bittencourt auction may also be an opportunity
depending on the capex benefits considered for the project, while it’s possible that
some amendments may materialize in the short term. We increase our target price
to R$15.60/sh (from R$15.00), on estimates changes shown in Figure 16.
Filipe Nielsen
Company
SLC Agricola SA (SLCE3.SA) - SLC is acquiring more land in MT State
SLC announced that it exercised its right of first refusal for the acquisition of
leased land that has been put up for sale in Mato Grosso State. The properties
have 41.2k physical hectares of registered area, which correspond to 28.8k arable
hectares and this land historically enable 100% of second crop planting, while the
total amount of the deal will be R$1,850mn, implying a price of R$64.2k per arable
hectare, below market price. As we commented earlier, we see this deal as aligned
with the company's long-term strategy, but we expect a higher pressure in its cash
flow, given the higher leverage ahead (which should reach ~2.7x 2026 EoP), high
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