REAL-TIME GLOBAL RESEARCH
HG & HY Food for Thought: No Hidden Valley Ranch here! just a lot of food news over the last 2-weeks
Research evidence excerpt
HG & HY Food for Thought: No Hidden Valley Ranch here! just a lot of food news over the last 2-weeks
J P M O R G A N North America Credit Research
26 June 2026
HG & HY Food for Thought
No Hidden Valley Ranch here! just a lot of food news
over the last 2-weeks
North America Corporate Credit - Credit outperformed equities on the week. As of Friday afternoon, the S&P
Consumer, Retailing, and Food &
declined ~2% on a rotation out of higher-beta growth stocks. Oil prices were Beverage
volatile with tensions in the Middle East escalating and de-escalating; a steady
Carla Casella, CFA AC supply of goods through the Strait of Hormuz is still the key question. Our global
(1-212) 270-6798
commodity strategist, Natasha Kaneva, now forecasts Brent averaging $86 in carla.casella@jpmorgan.com
3Q26 and $80 in 4Q26, exiting the year at $78 (down from ~$100), falling further
Yaakov Musheyev
in ‘27 (full note here). Treasuries tightened on the week, with the 5yr -10bps to (1-212) 834 5865
4.13% and the 10yr -9bps to 4.37%. Credit markets were mixed with higher- yaakov.a.musheyev@jpmorgan.com
quality slightly outperforming. The JULI returned +0.3% with HG Food/Bev Morgan Morrissey
outperforming, +0.4%, whereas JPHY gave up 0.06%, with HY Food/Bev (1-212) 834-2383
outperforming, +0.10%. By rating, As +0.3%, BBBs +0.3%, while BBs unch, morgan.morrissey@jpmorgan.com
Bs -0.08%, and CCCs -0.29%. J.P. Morgan Securities LLC
Over the last two weeks, EAT announced its redeeming its $350mn 8.250%
senior notes due 2030, HSY’s outlook was changed to Stable from Negative by Ratings
Moody’s, IFF entered into a $1bn delayed draw term loan, KDP announced HY Food & Beverage Neutral
leadership changes, KO’s dispute with the IRS went to a federal appeals court, ARMK Neutral (N CDS)
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