REAL-TIME GLOBAL RESEARCH
The Point for Japan
Research evidence excerpt
The Point for Japan
Point |
Thursday, 25 June 2026
Company | Macro | Fixed Income | Key Rating and Target Price Changes
Company
Kose (4922.T) - Roundtable meeting takeaways: focusing on the details of the
restructuring plan
We had the opportunity to participate in a roundtable meeting for the sell-side
hosted by Kose today. The main speakers were COO Koichi Shibusawa and CFO
Shinichi Mochizuki. We received mixed impressions regarding current sales, and
we believe the restructuring plan that the company will disclose alongside Q2 or
Q3 results will be the key focus going forward. That said, Kose's share price has
been gradually declining—by about 5% over the past month. We believe that
reversing this momentum will require the presentation of a bold restructuring plan
on the scale of ¥10bn (on an OP basis) that would make the achievement of the
12% OPM target for FY12/30 (versus the company's FY12/26 full-year plan of 5.7%)
appear realistic.
Hiroki Watanabe
Kao (4452.T) - Announces launch of new mass-market brand from cosmetics
brand Sofina
Kao announced today the launch of Sofina Basic+ in its cosmetics skincare brand
Sofina (core price range of ¥3,000-5,000), targeting the mass-market segment
(¥1,000-2,000). For toner and lotion products, the launch date is August 8, 2026.
We expect drugstores to be the primary sales channel, and given Kao's strong
market presence in this channel, we anticipate smooth progress with distribution
for the new brand after launch. Kao's Japan cosmetics business revenue YoY has
consistently maintained mid to high single-digit growth in FY12/24, FY12/25, and
FY12/26 Q1. This new brand release leverages the existing Sofina brand name
while aiming for brand uptake in a new price segment, and we expect the solid
sales momentum to continue.
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