REAL-TIME GLOBAL RESEARCH
Quantitative Global Macro Strategy: Where are all the allocators‘ blocks? Still Risk-On, but With Cracks
Research evidence excerpt
Quantitative Global Macro Strategy: Where are all the allocators‘ blocks? Still Risk-On, but With Cracks
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24 Jun 2026 14:06:56 ET │ 11 pages
Quantitative Global Macro Strategy
Where are all the allocators’ blocks? Still Risk-On, but With Cracks
CITI'S TAKE
Alex Saunders AC
Asset allocators remain pro-risk with a cautious optimism, reducing +1-212-723-1058
positions across equities, rates, and credit. They note sticky inflation and alexander.saunders@citi.com
the broader consequences of geopolitical events as potential concerns but
remain constructive on AI-driven growth. However, we see an increased Dirk Willer AC
discussion of AI valuations following strong performance. Consequently, +1-212-723-1016
managers reduce exposure in the AI-heavy EM and US overweights but dirk.willer@citi.com
remain long. European equities overweight remains popular. In rates,
managers reduce rates longs upon sticky inflation worries but the UST Alice Zheng AC
underweight sees a large trim; Gilts remain a consensus long despite +1-212-816-0382
political upheaval. Credit allocations also see negative moves with US IG a alice.zheng@citi.com
popular underweight. Commodities see large changes; interestingly, energy
is gaining popularity despite oil price weakness, as is base metals, while Adam Pickett AC
gold loses some popularity-shine. In FX, we finally saw significant +44-20-7500-5777
reductions in USD short and JPY long while EMFX remains a consensus adam.pickett@citi.com
overweight. The cash underweight was maintained.
Giammarco Miani AC
+44-20-7986-6316Increasingly cautious pro-risk sentiment — While remaining risk-on and
constructive on AI-driven growth, managers slightly trimmed the popular EM and giammarco.miani@citi.com
ACUS positions upon growing valuation concerns.
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