REAL-TIME GLOBAL RESEARCH
LATAM Corporates Daily: Your daily dose of all things LatAm
Research evidence excerpt
LATAM Corporates Daily: Your daily dose of all things LatAm
J P M O R G A N Latin America Credit Research
24 June 2026
LATAM Corporates Daily
Your daily dose of all things LatAm
Highlights Latin America Corporate Research
Natalia Corfield AC
• Adecoagro: Outlook revised to stable from negative by S&P (1-212) 834-9150
natalia.corfield@jpmorgan.com
• Oil Markets Weekly by Natasha Kaneva: Right shock, wrong price J.P. Morgan Securities LLC
• Performance Alejandra Andrade
(1-212) 834-3220
Prices in this note are as of June 23, 2026. alejandra.andrade@jpmorgan.com
J.P. Morgan Securities LLC
Ian B Snyder
(1-212) 834-3798
ian.b.snyder@jpmchase.com
Adecoagro: Outlook revised to stable from negative by S&P J.P. Morgan Securities LLC
S&P revised Adecoagro’s outlook to stable from negative and affirmed its BB- Florencia Palacios
rating, citing faster-than-expected deleveraging on better-than-anticipated (1-212) 622-1129
fertilizer and ethanol performance. Adjusted debt/EBITDA is projected to fall to florencia.x.palacios@jpmorgan.com
2.4x in 2026–27 (from 4.4x in 2025), supported by stronger fertilizer prices and
Bhavya Gupta
improved S&E results from higher productivity. The outlook assumes prudent
(91-22) 6157-3132
capital management and continued benefits from the diversified model, although bhavya.x.gupta@jpmchase.com
Argentina exposure remains significant. Improved access to financing and a higher J.P. Morgan India Private Limited
T&C assessment for Argentina also support the rating. S&P expects leverage to
stay in the 2.0x–2.5x range, FFO/debt above 30%, and FCF to remain positive, with
further actions dependent on financial discipline and Argentina risk. We believe
S&P’s deleveraging path could prove too optimistic. While there was initially a lot
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