Global Supply Chain Research Highlights

Research evidence excerpt

Global Supply Chain Research Highlights

Roundup |

June 10 - June 23 24 Jun 2026 06:56:25 ET

ACEconomics | Equities Citi Global Research

+44-20-7500-1400

This fortnightly roundup summarizes our research on supply chain disruptions,

and what corporates and policy makers are doing to address them.

Economics

Global Multi-Asset - Turmoil in the Middle East—Implications for Supply Chains

Macro-to-Micro

Economics View: The interim agreement between the United States and Iran has

allowed oil prices to decline and has eased headwinds restraining the global

economy. Even so, it is too soon to say that conflict-related challenges are entirely

behind us. The durability of the deal remains to be seen, and the conflict has done

damage to productive infrastructure across the Middle East. An important

implication is that supply-chain pressures are likely to linger. Consistent with this

view, our Citi Global Supply Chain Pressure Index has already tightened

significantly and, as such, we see some looming challenges for global growth and

inflation. Equity View: The sectors most at risk, including Aluminum,

Petrochemicals, and Fertilizers, look poised to endure a sustained period of

pressures. In contrast, Helium & Chip Manufacturing and North American

Transport strike us as better positioned.

Nathan Sheets | Cole Langlois | Laura (Chia Yi) Chen | Peter Lee | Elizabeth Sun, CFA

Brent Oil Price Citi Global Supply Chain Pressure Index

$/bbl Pre-Pandemic Average = 0

130 4

Onset of Iran Conflict

120 3

100 May

-1 70

60 -2

Feb-2026 Mar-2026 Apr-2026 May-2026 Jun-2026 2016 2018 2020 2022 2024 2026

South Korea Economics - June 10-Day Trade: Crude Oil Import Price Finally Falls

while Chip Export Surges Further

In the first 10 days of June, semiconductor exports rose to another record