REAL-TIME GLOBAL RESEARCH
JPM | EMEA Spec Sits Daily: SGRO LN/PLD US, SUBC NO/ SPM IM: EMEA Special Situations Specialist Commentary Merger/Arbitrage • Pre-Announced • Spin-off Event Driven
Research evidence excerpt
JPM | EMEA Spec Sits Daily: SGRO LN/PLD US, SUBC NO/ SPM IM: EMEA Special Situations Specialist Commentary Merger/Arbitrage • Pre-Announced • Spin-off Event Driven
Specialist Sales J P M O R G A N
24 June 2026
• Pro-forma - On our estimates and conservatively assuming only guided synergies, we calculate the market is currently
assigning a ~5x multiple to the combined company on forward 2027E EBITDA. A re-rating to ~6x, firmly within
Saipem’s long-term historical range (Figure 1), would imply ~40% upside from current levels for Saipem.
Additionally, we have seen growing interest from generalists and LOs in offshore OFS in client conversations, supported
by a still-growing subsea space and expected limited newbuild supply.
• Brown-Forman Corp - Takeaways from Roundtable with New CFO- Drew Levine here
• We attended a sell-side roundtable discussion with recently appointed BF CFO Jim Peters in New York. The underlying
message was largely consistent with recent commentary from F4Q26 earnings results ~three weeks ago — the operating
environment in Developed Markets remains challenging with no expectation for material improvement/inflection in the
near-term, so BF will continue to invest more resources into areas that are growing, such as Emerging Markets and
innovation. CFO Peters also sounded focused on driving cost efficiencies and instilling a culture of continuous
improvement (probably less of a focus historically when industry was growing and company was generating >60% GM)
with a goal of driving margin improvement subsequent to high-cost inventory working through the P&L, but also
acknowledged the pricing environment in the U.S. may not be supportive in the near-term.
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