REAL-TIME GLOBAL RESEARCH
J.P. Morgan Municipal Morning Intelligence
Research evidence excerpt
J.P. Morgan Municipal Morning Intelligence
J P M O R G A N Global Markets Strategy
23 June 2026
J.P. Morgan Municipal Morning
Intelligence
Munis outperformed as fund flows rebounded. Munis
lean rich vs. taxables with $5bn on tap today. Weekly
analytics package published.
– In case you missed it, yesterday we published our Municipal Weekly Analytics Securitized Products & Public
Package, offering current yield and spread data for ~40 municipal subsectors, as Finance Municipals Strategy
well as a new tax-exempt issuance-by-curve snapshot. Peter DeGroot AC
(1-212) 834-7293
Tax-Exempt Market Wrap peter.degroot@jpmorgan.com
– The HG muni scale was cut by 1bp out to 7 years and left unchanged thereafter Ye Tian
on Monday, while Treasury yields closed 4-6bps higher as markets continued to (1-212) 834-3051
digest last week’s FOMC outcome (with OIS forwards now pricing in a full hike by ye.tian@jpmorgan.com
the Sep FOMC meeting and 50bp of tightening by March 2027). Munis Roisin A Gargan
outperformed as inflows rebounded ($465mn, 47 consecutive sessions) and BWIC (1-212) 834-7010
($2.3bn) volume rose somewhat (+10%). Today’s supply is elevated at $5bn, while roisin.gargan@jpmchase.com
J.P. Morgan Securities LLC
this week’s $11bn in total tax-exempt supply should be manageable ahead of next
week’s holiday-stunted issuance.
– Yesterday’s BWIC volume was $2.3bn, 10% above the five-week Monday
average. The hit ratio was a strong 65%, 6% above average. Traded yields on
customer purchases were mostly 1-8bps through the ICE marks across the curve, led
by an 8bps decline in short-calls and 6bps drop in the 20yrs+ range, while yields
in money market and the 5-10yrs bracket rose by 1-3bps.
– Muni fund flows rebounded on Monday to $465mn despite higher UST rates,
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