REAL-TIME GLOBAL RESEARCH
FSN E-Commerce Ventures FSNE.NS NYKAA IN: Strong FY30 guidance – Growth to accelerate
Research evidence excerpt
FSN E-Commerce Ventures FSNE.NS NYKAA IN: Strong FY30 guidance – Growth to accelerate
Global Markets Research
FSN E-Commerce Ventures FSNE.NS NYKAA IN 18 June 2026
EQUITY: CONSUMER RELATED
RatingStrong FY30 guidance – Growth to accelerate Remains Buy
Target priceGuides revenue to grow by 2.5-3x and expand EBITDA Remains INR 317
margins to early/mid teens by FY30E; maintain Buy
Closing price
18 June 2026 INR 298We attended FSN E-Commerce’s Investor Day 2026. Key takeaways are below:
• Nykaa’s revenue and margin guidance was ahead of our estimates. Revenue guidance Implied upside +6.4%
for FY30E at INR250-300bn (vs Nomura INR248bn) and early-to-mid teen margin (vs Nomura:
~11%) were driven by: 1) premiumization, 2) increasing brand partnerships and scale-up of Market Cap (USD mn) 9,050.2
own brands, and 3) focus on physical expansion in Tier 2/3 cities. Industry: according to ADT (USD mn) 18.4
management, Beauty, Personal Care (BPC), and Fashion industries will likely record a CAGR
of ~12%+ over FY26-FY31E, driven by GenZ and millennials who account for over 70% of
Relative performance chart BPC consumption.
• BPC: The segment targets a total of USD40bn+ TAM by FY31, with an aim to record
USD5bn+ GMV by FY30E (2.5x current scale), with revenue growing ~2.5-3x in FY30E from
FY26, while capitalizing on high-margin segments and emerging categories.
• House of Nykaa: Its brand portfolio is currently at INR17bn net sales value (NSV), which the
company expects to triple to INR50bn NSV by FY30E.
• Fashion: Revenue is expected to grow to 3-3.5x in FY30E from FY26 levels driven by brand
assortment, continued customer acquisition and retention. Margins are expected to rise to high
single-digit in FY30E (from -2.6% in FY26) and steady state margin of ~10%.
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